MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF LABOR MARKET MODELING AND FORECASTING

Forecasting methods and stock market analysis

The paper briefly analysis the methods used in forecasting of the stock market quotations, from the classic methods, used by the fundamentalists and chartist annalists, to the newest methods. The practical situations, where the analyzed methods are suitable, are also indicated.

Mathematical model for forecasting * and estimating of market demand

The scientific study article(a monograph) , presents a forecast and estimate the evolution of the market demand. Key-Words: fuzzy sets, forecasting, estimating, statistical extrapolation, market demand. 1 Problem formulation Methods for forecasting 1.1 Probabilistic Model [10] The methods operate with certain statistical parameters. The most frequently used is the mean square deviation, namely:...

The Proposed Mathematical Models For Decision- Making And Forecasting On Euro- Yen In Foreign Exchange Market

The Ins and Outs of Forecasting Unemployment: Using Labor Force Flows to Forecast the Labor Market

This paper presents a forecasting model of unemployment based on labor force flows data that, in real time, dramatically outperforms the Survey of Professional Forecasters, historical forecasts from the Federal Reserve Board’s Greenbook, and basic time-series models. Our model’s forecast has a root-mean-squared error about 30 percent below that of the next-best forecast in the near term and per...

Forecasting Women’s Apparel Sales Using Mathematical Modeling

Traditionally, statistical time series methods like moving average (MA), autoregression (AR), or combinations of them are used for forecasting sales. Since these models predict future sales only on the basis of previous sales, they fail in an environment where the sales are more influenced by exogenous variables such as size, price, color, climatic data, effect of media, price changes or campai...